“We used over 500,000 wildfire ignition records from 2000 to 2020 to develop machine learning models that predict daily ignition probability across the WUS and incorporate a wide range of physical, biological, social, and administrative variables.”
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Pourmohamad, Y., Abatzoglou, J. T., Fleishman, E., Belval, E., Short, K. C., Williamson, M., et al. (2026). Predictive understanding of Wildfire ignitions across the western United States. Earth’s Future, 14, e2025EF006935. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EF006935